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icon for Trump approval rating on June 19?

Trump approval rating on June 19?

icon for Trump approval rating on June 19?

Trump approval rating on June 19?

<38.0 43%

38.0–38.4 42%

38.5–38.9 42%

39.0–39.4 42%

Polymarket
NOVO

<38.0 43%

38.0–38.4 42%

38.5–38.9 42%

39.0–39.4 42%

Polymarket
NOVO

<38.0

$0 Vol.

43%

38.0–38.4

$0 Vol.

42%

38.5–38.9

$0 Vol.

42%

39.0–39.4

$0 Vol.

42%

39.5–39.9

$0 Vol.

41%

40,0+

$0 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls from early June 2026 place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with aggregates from sources like Emerson, Marquette, and Ballotpedia showing figures between 36% and 40% amid disapproval ratings near 60%. The Iran conflict and persistent inflation pressures, including voter concerns over gas prices and living costs, have anchored ratings near second-term lows. Partisan divides sustain core Republican support while limiting broader gains, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 38-40%. Upcoming economic indicators, any diplomatic shifts on Iran, or final pre-June 19 survey releases could narrow the range by clarifying short-term trends in public sentiment.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
19 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls from early June 2026 place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with aggregates from sources like Emerson, Marquette, and Ballotpedia showing figures between 36% and 40% amid disapproval ratings near 60%. The Iran conflict and persistent inflation pressures, including voter concerns over gas prices and living costs, have anchored ratings near second-term lows. Partisan divides sustain core Republican support while limiting broader gains, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 38-40%. Upcoming economic indicators, any diplomatic shifts on Iran, or final pre-June 19 survey releases could narrow the range by clarifying short-term trends in public sentiment.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
19 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump approval rating on June 19?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<38.0" at 43%, followed by "38.0–38.4" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump approval rating on June 19?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump approval rating on June 19?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump approval rating on June 19?" is "<38.0" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "38.0–38.4" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump approval rating on June 19?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.