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icon for Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas
Política·Senado Do Texas

Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

icon for Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas
Política·Senado Do Texas

Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

1,2–1,5M 26.4%

1,5–1,8M 19.1%

0,9–1,2M 19%

1,8–2,1 milhões 17.9%

Polymarket

$88,732 Vol.

1,2–1,5M 26.4%

1,5–1,8M 19.1%

0,9–1,2M 19%

1,8–2,1 milhões 17.9%

Polymarket

$88,732 Vol.

<0,6M

$998 Vol.

3%

0,6–0,9M

$53,297 Vol.

11%

0,9–1,2M

$1,101 Vol.

19%

1,2–1,5M

$24,788 Vol.

35%

1,5–1,8M

$576 Vol.

19%

1,8–2,1 milhões

$1,739 Vol.

18%

2,1–2,4M

$2,047 Vol.

1%

2,4–2,7M

$2,494 Vol.

1%

2,7M+

$1,693 Vol.

1%

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors 1.2–1.5 million votes at 35.4% in the Texas Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by the high-stakes U.S. Senate contest between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, following a close University of Houston poll on May 5 showing Paxton at 48% among likely GOP voters. Record turnout in the March 3 primary—4.35 million statewide, with Democrats slightly outpacing Republicans—sets a high baseline, but historical runoff patterns show sharp dropoffs of 60–70%, tempered here by over 30 contested races and heavy ad spending exceeding $110 million. Early voting begins May 18, with mobilization efforts from both campaigns likely to influence final participation amid battleground dynamics in key counties.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$88,732
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors 1.2–1.5 million votes at 35.4% in the Texas Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by the high-stakes U.S. Senate contest between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, following a close University of Houston poll on May 5 showing Paxton at 48% among likely GOP voters. Record turnout in the March 3 primary—4.35 million statewide, with Democrats slightly outpacing Republicans—sets a high baseline, but historical runoff patterns show sharp dropoffs of 60–70%, tempered here by over 30 contested races and heavy ad spending exceeding $110 million. Early voting begins May 18, with mobilization efforts from both campaigns likely to influence final participation amid battleground dynamics in key counties.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$88,732
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1,2–1,5M" at 35%, followed by "0,9–1,2M" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" has generated $88.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is "1,2–1,5M" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "0,9–1,2M" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.