The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested less than two weeks before the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters amid seven percent undecided. Heavy negative advertising from Cornyn and his Senate allies, combined with a significant spending advantage, has intensified personal attacks without producing a decisive break, while the absence of endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott or President Trump leaves both campaigns reliant on base mobilization and turnout among March primary voters. These factors sustain fragmented trader consensus across narrow victory margins, as any last-minute shift in undecided support or final-week developments could quickly alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPaxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn <3% 20.6%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,276 Vol.
$59,276 Vol.
25 mai 2026
Paxton 9%+
16%
Paxton 6–9%
23%
Paxton 3–6%
14%
Paxton <3%
11%
Cornyn <3%
21%
Cornyn 3–6%
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
5%
Cornyn 9%+
10%
Paxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn <3% 20.6%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,276 Vol.
$59,276 Vol.
25 mai 2026
Paxton 9%+
$11,915 Vol.
16%
Paxton 6–9%
$6,727 Vol.
23%
Paxton 3–6%
$5,750 Vol.
14%
Paxton <3%
$7,085 Vol.
11%
Cornyn <3%
$5,174 Vol.
21%
Cornyn 3–6%
$5,243 Vol.
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
$5,306 Vol.
5%
Cornyn 9%+
$12,076 Vol.
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested less than two weeks before the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters amid seven percent undecided. Heavy negative advertising from Cornyn and his Senate allies, combined with a significant spending advantage, has intensified personal attacks without producing a decisive break, while the absence of endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott or President Trump leaves both campaigns reliant on base mobilization and turnout among March primary voters. These factors sustain fragmented trader consensus across narrow victory margins, as any last-minute shift in undecided support or final-week developments could quickly alter the outcome.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$59,276Data de Término
25 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested less than two weeks before the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters amid seven percent undecided. Heavy negative advertising from Cornyn and his Senate allies, combined with a significant spending advantage, has intensified personal attacks without producing a decisive break, while the absence of endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott or President Trump leaves both campaigns reliant on base mobilization and turnout among March primary voters. These factors sustain fragmented trader consensus across narrow victory margins, as any last-minute shift in undecided support or final-week developments could quickly alter the outcome.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$59,276Data de Término
25 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested less than two weeks before the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters amid seven percent undecided. Heavy negative advertising from Cornyn and his Senate allies, combined with a significant spending advantage, has intensified personal attacks without producing a decisive break, while the absence of endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott or President Trump leaves both campaigns reliant on base mobilization and turnout among March primary voters. These factors sustain fragmented trader consensus across narrow victory margins, as any last-minute shift in undecided support or final-week developments could quickly alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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