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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon

David Brock Smith 62.3%

Jo Rae Perkins 32%

Russell McAlmond 1.8%

Joe Johnson 1.4%

Polymarket

$89,062 Vol.

David Brock Smith 62.3%

Jo Rae Perkins 32%

Russell McAlmond 1.8%

Joe Johnson 1.4%

Polymarket

$89,062 Vol.

David Brock Smith

$4,336 Vol.

62%

Jo Rae Perkins

$15,431 Vol.

32%

Russell McAlmond

$14,566 Vol.

2%

Joe Johnson

$10,443 Vol.

1%

David Burch

$23,134 Vol.

1%

Brent Barker

$2,456 Vol.

1%

Tim Skelton

$8,995 Vol.

1%

Deborah C. Brown

$2,850 Vol.

1%

Douglas T. Muck Jr.

$6,852 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. David Brock Smith leads Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary at 60% trader consensus on Polymarket, reflecting recent endorsements from key GOP figures including House Republican Leader Dan Rayfield—no, wait: Leader Elmer, Senate colleagues like Sen. Brian Boquist—no, Nash, McLane, and conservative groups such as Oregon Right to Life, as highlighted in a May 2 rally of support and his campaign promotions through May 14. These developments signal party consolidation behind Brock Smith as the most viable general election challenger to incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley, bolstering his fundraising and statewide relationships amid a fragmented nine-candidate field. Jo Rae Perkins trails at 32% on prior 2020 nomination name recognition but faces skepticism over electability. With ballots mailed April 29 and the May 19 primary approaching, early voting turnout and final endorsements could shift the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$89,062
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. David Brock Smith leads Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary at 60% trader consensus on Polymarket, reflecting recent endorsements from key GOP figures including House Republican Leader Dan Rayfield—no, wait: Leader Elmer, Senate colleagues like Sen. Brian Boquist—no, Nash, McLane, and conservative groups such as Oregon Right to Life, as highlighted in a May 2 rally of support and his campaign promotions through May 14. These developments signal party consolidation behind Brock Smith as the most viable general election challenger to incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley, bolstering his fundraising and statewide relationships amid a fragmented nine-candidate field. Jo Rae Perkins trails at 32% on prior 2020 nomination name recognition but faces skepticism over electability. With ballots mailed April 29 and the May 19 primary approaching, early voting turnout and final endorsements could shift the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$89,062
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Brock Smith" at 62%, followed by "Jo Rae Perkins" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" has generated $89.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" is "David Brock Smith" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jo Rae Perkins" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.