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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky

Andy Barr 97.2%

Daniel Cameron 2.5%

Mike Faris <1%

Nate Morris <1%

Polymarket

$199,585 Vol.

Andy Barr 97.2%

Daniel Cameron 2.5%

Mike Faris <1%

Nate Morris <1%

Polymarket

$199,585 Vol.

Andy Barr

$48,063 Vol.

97%

Daniel Cameron

$24,237 Vol.

2%

Mike Faris

$17,210 Vol.

<1%

Nate Morris

$32,802 Vol.

<1%

Wende Kennedy

$15,951 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Shelley

$61,322 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Barr's commanding lead in the Kentucky Republican Senate primary, implied by trader consensus at 97%, stems from President Trump's May 1 endorsement, which catalyzed a surge in polls and consolidated support after Nate Morris's dropout. Recent surveys, including an UpOne Insights poll from May 9-11 showing Barr at 46% to Daniel Cameron's 27%, alongside Barr's fundraising dominance with over $6 million raised, have solidified his frontrunner status among GOP voters seeking to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. With early voting underway ahead of the May 19 primary, Cameron's cancellation of final-week TV ads signals concession. Barr's position could shift only via a late scandal, unexpected turnout among undecideds favoring Cameron, or polling errors, though historical primary base rates favor endorsed incumbents.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$199,585
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Barr's commanding lead in the Kentucky Republican Senate primary, implied by trader consensus at 97%, stems from President Trump's May 1 endorsement, which catalyzed a surge in polls and consolidated support after Nate Morris's dropout. Recent surveys, including an UpOne Insights poll from May 9-11 showing Barr at 46% to Daniel Cameron's 27%, alongside Barr's fundraising dominance with over $6 million raised, have solidified his frontrunner status among GOP voters seeking to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. With early voting underway ahead of the May 19 primary, Cameron's cancellation of final-week TV ads signals concession. Barr's position could shift only via a late scandal, unexpected turnout among undecideds favoring Cameron, or polling errors, though historical primary base rates favor endorsed incumbents.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$199,585
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Barr" at 97%, followed by "Daniel Cameron" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky" has generated $199.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky" is "Andy Barr" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Daniel Cameron" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.