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Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia

icon for Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia
Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia

Janez Janša 95.2%

Anže Logar 2.4%

Jernej Vrtovec <1%

Robert Golob <1%

Polymarket

$3,013,569 Vol.

Janez Janša 95.2%

Anže Logar 2.4%

Jernej Vrtovec <1%

Robert Golob <1%

Polymarket

$3,013,569 Vol.

icon for Janez Janša

Janez Janša

$775,973 Vol.

95%

icon for Anže Logar

Anže Logar

$991,321 Vol.

2%

icon for Jernej Vrtovec

Jernej Vrtovec

$222,264 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert Golob

Robert Golob

$656,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Prebilič

Vladimir Prebilič

$181,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luka Mesec

Luka Mesec

$10,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matjaž Han

Matjaž Han

$20,169 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matej Tonin

Matej Tonin

$18,275 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zoran Stevanović

Zoran Stevanović

$137,240 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections left no outright majority, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing a narrow one-seat edge over Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party before Golob admitted failure to assemble a coalition in late April. This shifted initiative to Janša, who has advanced center-right talks with NSi, SLS and aligned partners, supported by recent parliamentary approval of government reforms reducing ministries. Traders assign Janez Janša a 95.2% implied probability of becoming the next prime minister, reflecting expectations of his nomination in the second round and confirmation via simple National Assembly majority. Remaining risks include last-minute coalition breakdowns, partner defections or a failed floor vote that could reopen negotiations or trigger snap elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,013,569
Data de Término
22 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections left no outright majority, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing a narrow one-seat edge over Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party before Golob admitted failure to assemble a coalition in late April. This shifted initiative to Janša, who has advanced center-right talks with NSi, SLS and aligned partners, supported by recent parliamentary approval of government reforms reducing ministries. Traders assign Janez Janša a 95.2% implied probability of becoming the next prime minister, reflecting expectations of his nomination in the second round and confirmation via simple National Assembly majority. Remaining risks include last-minute coalition breakdowns, partner defections or a failed floor vote that could reopen negotiations or trigger snap elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,013,569
Data de Término
22 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janez Janša" at 95%, followed by "Anže Logar" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia" is "Janez Janša" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Anže Logar" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.