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Eleições·Espanha

Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?

icon for Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?
Eleições·Espanha

Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?

Juanma Moreno 98.6%

María Jesús Montero 1.1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket

$161,525 Vol.

Juanma Moreno 98.6%

María Jesús Montero 1.1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket

$161,525 Vol.

icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$10,790 Vol.

99%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$6,809 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$4,973 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$135,298 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$3,728 Vol.

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juanma Moreno’s commanding position stems from his incumbency as regional president and consistent polling leads projecting an absolute majority for the People’s Party in Sunday’s Andalusian election. Recent campaign developments have centered on his emphasis on governance stability and moderate positioning that limits reliance on coalition partners, reinforcing voter preference in Spain’s most populous region ahead of the 2027 national cycle. Trader consensus reflected in these odds aligns with historical patterns of strong regional incumbents securing reelection when polls show such margins. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unexpectedly low turnout among PP supporters or last-minute changes in voter coalitions that prevent a clear parliamentary majority, though current evidence points to limited risk of such reversals.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$161,525
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juanma Moreno’s commanding position stems from his incumbency as regional president and consistent polling leads projecting an absolute majority for the People’s Party in Sunday’s Andalusian election. Recent campaign developments have centered on his emphasis on governance stability and moderate positioning that limits reliance on coalition partners, reinforcing voter preference in Spain’s most populous region ahead of the 2027 national cycle. Trader consensus reflected in these odds aligns with historical patterns of strong regional incumbents securing reelection when polls show such margins. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unexpectedly low turnout among PP supporters or last-minute changes in voter coalitions that prevent a clear parliamentary majority, though current evidence points to limited risk of such reversals.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$161,525
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Juanma Moreno" at 99%, followed by "María Jesús Montero" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?" has generated $161.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?" is "Juanma Moreno" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "María Jesús Montero" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.