Trader consensus in the Texas Senate race currently centers on a Democratic primary outcome favoring state Representative James Talarico paired against either Attorney General Ken Paxton or incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Talarico’s positioning stems from sustained fundraising momentum, high-profile legislative actions on education and abortion access, and polling leads among Democratic primary voters in recent weeks. On the Republican side, Paxton’s primary challenge against Cornyn has intensified following public criticisms of the incumbent’s legislative record and early endorsement signals from state party figures, elevating that matchup’s probability. Combinations involving Representative Jasmine Crockett remain marginal due to her lower statewide name recognition and limited recent movement in primary surveys. Upcoming filing deadlines and spring primary polling could further refine these implied probabilities before the 2026 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCombinação de eleições para o Senado do Texas
Combinação de eleições para o Senado do Texas
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 38%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,500 Vol.
$721,500 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico & Paxton
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
38%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
<1%
Outro
<1%
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 38%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,500 Vol.
$721,500 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico & Paxton
$275,360 Vol.
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
$197,112 Vol.
38%
Crockett & Hunt
$24,730 Vol.
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
$24,058 Vol.
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
$107,066 Vol.
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
$65,651 Vol.
<1%
Outro
$27,524 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Texas Senate race currently centers on a Democratic primary outcome favoring state Representative James Talarico paired against either Attorney General Ken Paxton or incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Talarico’s positioning stems from sustained fundraising momentum, high-profile legislative actions on education and abortion access, and polling leads among Democratic primary voters in recent weeks. On the Republican side, Paxton’s primary challenge against Cornyn has intensified following public criticisms of the incumbent’s legislative record and early endorsement signals from state party figures, elevating that matchup’s probability. Combinations involving Representative Jasmine Crockett remain marginal due to her lower statewide name recognition and limited recent movement in primary surveys. Upcoming filing deadlines and spring primary polling could further refine these implied probabilities before the 2026 general election.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volume
$721,500Data de Término
3 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Texas Senate race currently centers on a Democratic primary outcome favoring state Representative James Talarico paired against either Attorney General Ken Paxton or incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Talarico’s positioning stems from sustained fundraising momentum, high-profile legislative actions on education and abortion access, and polling leads among Democratic primary voters in recent weeks. On the Republican side, Paxton’s primary challenge against Cornyn has intensified following public criticisms of the incumbent’s legislative record and early endorsement signals from state party figures, elevating that matchup’s probability. Combinations involving Representative Jasmine Crockett remain marginal due to her lower statewide name recognition and limited recent movement in primary surveys. Upcoming filing deadlines and spring primary polling could further refine these implied probabilities before the 2026 general election.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$721,500Data de Término
3 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Texas Senate race currently centers on a Democratic primary outcome favoring state Representative James Talarico paired against either Attorney General Ken Paxton or incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Talarico’s positioning stems from sustained fundraising momentum, high-profile legislative actions on education and abortion access, and polling leads among Democratic primary voters in recent weeks. On the Republican side, Paxton’s primary challenge against Cornyn has intensified following public criticisms of the incumbent’s legislative record and early endorsement signals from state party figures, elevating that matchup’s probability. Combinations involving Representative Jasmine Crockett remain marginal due to her lower statewide name recognition and limited recent movement in primary surveys. Upcoming filing deadlines and spring primary polling could further refine these implied probabilities before the 2026 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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