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icon for Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?
Geopolítica·Síria

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?

icon for Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?
Geopolítica·Síria

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?

dez 31

dez 31

$710,435 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$710,435 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$59,320 Vol.

10%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$334,436 Vol.

10%

icon for Indonésia

Indonésia

$17,070 Vol.

10%

icon for Líbano

Líbano

$109,933 Vol.

9%

icon for Síria

Síria

$20,052 Vol.

7%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$12,260 Vol.

7%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$14,884 Vol.

7%

icon for Catar

Catar

$34,933 Vol.

5%

icon for Coreia do Norte

Coreia do Norte

$19,186 Vol.

5%

icon for Paquistão

Paquistão

$9,243 Vol.

5%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$12,080 Vol.

4%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$9,366 Vol.

4%

icon for Irã

Irã

$13,771 Vol.

4%

icon for Afeganistão

Afeganistão

$19,450 Vol.

4%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$12,318 Vol.

4%

icon for Malásia

Malásia

$12,131 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, 164 of 192 UN member states recognize Israel, with non-recognizers concentrated among Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members. The December 2025 mutual recognition and full diplomatic ties with Somaliland marked the most recent addition, highlighting potential pathways in Africa or through bilateral security and economic incentives. Broader sentiment remains shaped by the two-state solution impasse, ongoing Gaza and West Bank developments, and coordinated statements from multiple governments prioritizing Palestinian state recognition. Diplomatic calendars through year-end, including UN sessions and bilateral talks, could influence any shifts, though entrenched positions on core issues like borders and Jerusalem limit near-term breakthroughs for most holdouts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$710,435
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, 164 of 192 UN member states recognize Israel, with non-recognizers concentrated among Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members. The December 2025 mutual recognition and full diplomatic ties with Somaliland marked the most recent addition, highlighting potential pathways in Africa or through bilateral security and economic incentives. Broader sentiment remains shaped by the two-state solution impasse, ongoing Gaza and West Bank developments, and coordinated statements from multiple governments prioritizing Palestinian state recognition. Diplomatic calendars through year-end, including UN sessions and bilateral talks, could influence any shifts, though entrenched positions on core issues like borders and Jerusalem limit near-term breakthroughs for most holdouts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$710,435
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arábia Saudita" at 10%, followed by "Venezuela" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" has generated $710.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" is "Arábia Saudita" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Venezuela" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.