Apple's consistent annual release cadence for its flagship iPhone lineup drives the 86.2% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has refreshed its hardware every September for more than a decade, backed by stable supply chains, semiconductor partnerships, and component manufacturing timelines that show no major disruptions in recent earnings updates or supplier reports. While product roadmaps can shift due to technical hurdles or regulatory factors, current industry patterns and the absence of credible delays support trader consensus around the standard cycle. Upcoming events like Apple's developer conference and quarterly financial disclosures may offer further timeline signals without altering the established pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Apple lançará o iPhone 18 em 2026?
A Apple lançará o iPhone 18 em 2026?
Sim
$100,738 Vol.
$100,738 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$100,738 Vol.
$100,738 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual release cadence for its flagship iPhone lineup drives the 86.2% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has refreshed its hardware every September for more than a decade, backed by stable supply chains, semiconductor partnerships, and component manufacturing timelines that show no major disruptions in recent earnings updates or supplier reports. While product roadmaps can shift due to technical hurdles or regulatory factors, current industry patterns and the absence of credible delays support trader consensus around the standard cycle. Upcoming events like Apple's developer conference and quarterly financial disclosures may offer further timeline signals without altering the established pattern.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$100,738Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual release cadence for its flagship iPhone lineup drives the 86.2% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has refreshed its hardware every September for more than a decade, backed by stable supply chains, semiconductor partnerships, and component manufacturing timelines that show no major disruptions in recent earnings updates or supplier reports. While product roadmaps can shift due to technical hurdles or regulatory factors, current industry patterns and the absence of credible delays support trader consensus around the standard cycle. Upcoming events like Apple's developer conference and quarterly financial disclosures may offer further timeline signals without altering the established pattern.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,741Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's consistent annual release cadence for its flagship iPhone lineup drives the 86.2% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has refreshed its hardware every September for more than a decade, backed by stable supply chains, semiconductor partnerships, and component manufacturing timelines that show no major disruptions in recent earnings updates or supplier reports. While product roadmaps can shift due to technical hurdles or regulatory factors, current industry patterns and the absence of credible delays support trader consensus around the standard cycle. Upcoming events like Apple's developer conference and quarterly financial disclosures may offer further timeline signals without altering the established pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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