Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the ECB lifting its deposit rate to 2.25% in June amid Middle East-related energy shocks that pushed euro-area inflation toward 2.9% in July and prompted expectations of further 25-basis-point hikes. The Fed, under new leadership, has held rates steady with signals favoring additional tightening if U.S. inflation stays near 3.4%, narrowing the prior rate-cut gap and supporting the dollar near 1.15. Geopolitical tensions and resilient U.S. growth have reinforced this dynamic, while upcoming September ECB and FOMC decisions, alongside fresh CPI and nonfarm payrolls data, represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities in currency markets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$88,845 Vol.
31 dez 2026
↑ 1,40
3%
↑ 1,35
6%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
7%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
22%
↑ 1,20
25%
↓ 1,12
46%
↓ 1,10
42%
↓ 1,05
8%
↓ 1,00
5%
$88,845 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$2,114 Vol.
3%
↑ 1,35
$1,536 Vol.
6%
↑ 1,30
$901 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,26
$3,132 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,24
$2,438 Vol.
9%
↑ 1,22
$399 Vol.
22%
↑ 1,20
$40,964 Vol.
25%
↓ 1,12
$2,826 Vol.
46%
↓ 1,10
$3,945 Vol.
42%
↓ 1,05
$6,111 Vol.
8%
↓ 1,00
$4,490 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the ECB lifting its deposit rate to 2.25% in June amid Middle East-related energy shocks that pushed euro-area inflation toward 2.9% in July and prompted expectations of further 25-basis-point hikes. The Fed, under new leadership, has held rates steady with signals favoring additional tightening if U.S. inflation stays near 3.4%, narrowing the prior rate-cut gap and supporting the dollar near 1.15. Geopolitical tensions and resilient U.S. growth have reinforced this dynamic, while upcoming September ECB and FOMC decisions, alongside fresh CPI and nonfarm payrolls data, represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities in currency markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercado Aberto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$88,845Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the ECB lifting its deposit rate to 2.25% in June amid Middle East-related energy shocks that pushed euro-area inflation toward 2.9% in July and prompted expectations of further 25-basis-point hikes. The Fed, under new leadership, has held rates steady with signals favoring additional tightening if U.S. inflation stays near 3.4%, narrowing the prior rate-cut gap and supporting the dollar near 1.15. Geopolitical tensions and resilient U.S. growth have reinforced this dynamic, while upcoming September ECB and FOMC decisions, alongside fresh CPI and nonfarm payrolls data, represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities in currency markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$88,845Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the ECB lifting its deposit rate to 2.25% in June amid Middle East-related energy shocks that pushed euro-area inflation toward 2.9% in July and prompted expectations of further 25-basis-point hikes. The Fed, under new leadership, has held rates steady with signals favoring additional tightening if U.S. inflation stays near 3.4%, narrowing the prior rate-cut gap and supporting the dollar near 1.15. Geopolitical tensions and resilient U.S. growth have reinforced this dynamic, while upcoming September ECB and FOMC decisions, alongside fresh CPI and nonfarm payrolls data, represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities in currency markets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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