Russian forces have conducted repeated small-unit infiltrations and assaults near Bilytske, a settlement north of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader pressure along the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis. As of mid-June 2026, however, no confirmed territorial control of the town has occurred, with geolocated footage showing Ukrainian strikes on Russian positions inside southern Bilytske and localized counterattacks. Russia’s spring-summer offensive across the sector has slowed sharply compared with 2025 rates, while Ukrainian forces report net territorial recaptures exceeding 600 square kilometers year-to-date, including gains in May. Trader assessments of near-term capture hinge on whether incremental Russian pressure can overcome Ukrainian defensive adaptations, artillery and drone interdiction, and supply-line strikes before any resolution date, amid stalled overall momentum toward wider Donetsk Oblast objectives.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Rússia vai capturar Bilytske por...?
$230,139 Vol.
June 30
8%
December 31
57%
$230,139 Vol.
June 30
8%
December 31
57%
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: May 27, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted repeated small-unit infiltrations and assaults near Bilytske, a settlement north of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader pressure along the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis. As of mid-June 2026, however, no confirmed territorial control of the town has occurred, with geolocated footage showing Ukrainian strikes on Russian positions inside southern Bilytske and localized counterattacks. Russia’s spring-summer offensive across the sector has slowed sharply compared with 2025 rates, while Ukrainian forces report net territorial recaptures exceeding 600 square kilometers year-to-date, including gains in May. Trader assessments of near-term capture hinge on whether incremental Russian pressure can overcome Ukrainian defensive adaptations, artillery and drone interdiction, and supply-line strikes before any resolution date, amid stalled overall momentum toward wider Donetsk Oblast objectives.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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