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World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

Round of 32 71%

Round of 16 14%

Quarterfinals 8%

Semifinals 3.7%

Polymarket

$157,367 Vol.

Round of 32 71%

Round of 16 14%

Quarterfinals 8%

Semifinals 3.7%

Polymarket

$157,367 Vol.

Round of 32

$44,975 Vol.

71%

Round of 16

$24,169 Vol.

14%

Quarterfinals

$20,677 Vol.

8%

Semifinals

$21,708 Vol.

4%

Final

$13,289 Vol.

1%

Champion

$14,005 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan enters the 2026 World Cup in Group F facing the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia with a talented squad featuring attacking depth from players like Takefusa Kubo and Ritsu Doan, but recent injuries have created uncertainty. Star winger Kaoru Mitoma remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, while captain Wataru Endo was ruled out with a foot problem and retired from international duty, alongside Takumi Minamino's long-term ACL absence. These setbacks temper expectations despite Japan's strong recent results against top European sides and tactical flexibility under Hajime Moriyasu. The expanded 48-team format and squad resilience keep implied probabilities tightly grouped for elimination in the round of 32, round of 16, or later stages, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive balance between vulnerability and upset potential.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$157,367
Data de Término
19 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan enters the 2026 World Cup in Group F facing the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia with a talented squad featuring attacking depth from players like Takefusa Kubo and Ritsu Doan, but recent injuries have created uncertainty. Star winger Kaoru Mitoma remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, while captain Wataru Endo was ruled out with a foot problem and retired from international duty, alongside Takumi Minamino's long-term ACL absence. These setbacks temper expectations despite Japan's strong recent results against top European sides and tactical flexibility under Hajime Moriyasu. The expanded 48-team format and squad resilience keep implied probabilities tightly grouped for elimination in the round of 32, round of 16, or later stages, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive balance between vulnerability and upset potential.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$157,367
Data de Término
19 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Round of 32" at 71%, followed by "Round of 16" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination" has generated $157.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination" is "Round of 32" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Round of 16" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.