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Mar previsões e probabilidades

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Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

42%

<4m sq km

$57.9K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 meses

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

11%

September 30

$5M Vol.

$195K Liq.

139

Ends em cerca de 17 horas

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31

$658K Vol.

$237K Liq.

27

Ends em 6 meses

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

7%

United States

$1M Vol.

$198K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 17 horas

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

42%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$89.8K Liq.

89

Ends em 6 meses

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

21%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$91.8K Liq.

57

Ends em 6 meses

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

34%

Los Angeles Angels

$5.5K Vol.

$175K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

18

Ends em 6 meses

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

<1%

$145K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

7

Ends em cerca de 17 horas

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

41%

<5

$478K Vol.

$57.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

41%

Los Angeles Angels

$404 Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

18%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

167

Ends em 6 meses

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

23%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

43

Ends há 5 meses

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

3%

$34.0K Vol.

$97.2K Liq.

7

Ends em 6 meses

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

56%

Los Angeles Angels

$5 Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends em 11 dias

Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury

Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury

33%

Seattle Storm

$8 Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm

PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm

54%

PortlandFire

$2 Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners - First 5 Innings Winner

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners - First 5 Innings Winner

50%

Yes

$5 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 19 horas

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets

42%

Seattle Sounders FC

$2.1K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks

66%

Los Angeles Sparks

$5 Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Mar.

Polymarket currently hosts 27 active markets for Mar that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump goes to space in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US military action against Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US military action against Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mar predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.