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icon for 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

icon for 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

июн. 30

июн. 30

19% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
19% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered. Recent video performance data has anchored trader skepticism around MrBeast hitting 100 million first-week views before June 30. His May 2026 wilderness survival upload opened at 35 million views in 24 hours yet projects to finish the week between 70-85 million based on typical decay curves, mirroring several prior challenge formats that plateaued below the threshold. Ongoing industry discussion of softer daily averages and evergreen tail performance has further cooled expectations, leaving the “No” outcome at an 81.5% implied probability. Any upcoming release featuring a high-retention gimmick or accelerated promotional push before the deadline remains the clearest potential swing factor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Объем
$665
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered. Recent video performance data has anchored trader skepticism around MrBeast hitting 100 million first-week views before June 30. His May 2026 wilderness survival upload opened at 35 million views in 24 hours yet projects to finish the week between 70-85 million based on typical decay curves, mirroring several prior challenge formats that plateaued below the threshold. Ongoing industry discussion of softer daily averages and evergreen tail performance has further cooled expectations, leaving the “No” outcome at an 81.5% implied probability. Any upcoming release featuring a high-retention gimmick or accelerated promotional push before the deadline remains the clearest potential swing factor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Объем
$665
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 19% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 19¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 19%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 28, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?» составляет 19% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.