Recent moderation in Argentina’s monthly price pressures underpins the 61% market-implied odds for a 2.2–2.4% May reading. April’s 2.6% month-on-month increase—down from March’s 3.4% and close to consensus—reflected easing regulated-price adjustments and stabilized fuel costs after earlier tariff resets. Traders appear to price continued disinflation momentum from fiscal surplus and prudent monetary policy, with year-on-year inflation now at 32.4%. Analyst surveys have lifted the full-year 2026 forecast only modestly to around 30%, supporting expectations that May will print below April’s level. The next INDEC release in mid-June will confirm whether the slowdown persists amid still-elevated core and seasonal components.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2.2–2.4% 65%
2.5–2.7% 25%
≤2,1% 23%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Объем
$46,634 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
≤2,1%
23%
2.2–2.4%
65%
2.5–2.7%
25%
2.8–3.0%
12%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
7%
3.7–3.9%
5%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 65%
2.5–2.7% 25%
≤2,1% 23%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Объем
$46,634 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
≤2,1%
$415 Объем
23%
2.2–2.4%
$46,084 Объем
65%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Объем
25%
2.8–3.0%
$50 Объем
12%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Объем
6%
3.4–3.6%
$1 Объем
7%
3.7–3.9%
$20 Объем
5%
4.0%+
$63 Объем
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent moderation in Argentina’s monthly price pressures underpins the 61% market-implied odds for a 2.2–2.4% May reading. April’s 2.6% month-on-month increase—down from March’s 3.4% and close to consensus—reflected easing regulated-price adjustments and stabilized fuel costs after earlier tariff resets. Traders appear to price continued disinflation momentum from fiscal surplus and prudent monetary policy, with year-on-year inflation now at 32.4%. Analyst surveys have lifted the full-year 2026 forecast only modestly to around 30%, supporting expectations that May will print below April’s level. The next INDEC release in mid-June will confirm whether the slowdown persists amid still-elevated core and seasonal components.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Объем
$46,634Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent moderation in Argentina’s monthly price pressures underpins the 61% market-implied odds for a 2.2–2.4% May reading. April’s 2.6% month-on-month increase—down from March’s 3.4% and close to consensus—reflected easing regulated-price adjustments and stabilized fuel costs after earlier tariff resets. Traders appear to price continued disinflation momentum from fiscal surplus and prudent monetary policy, with year-on-year inflation now at 32.4%. Analyst surveys have lifted the full-year 2026 forecast only modestly to around 30%, supporting expectations that May will print below April’s level. The next INDEC release in mid-June will confirm whether the slowdown persists amid still-elevated core and seasonal components.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$46,634Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in Argentina’s monthly price pressures underpins the 61% market-implied odds for a 2.2–2.4% May reading. April’s 2.6% month-on-month increase—down from March’s 3.4% and close to consensus—reflected easing regulated-price adjustments and stabilized fuel costs after earlier tariff resets. Traders appear to price continued disinflation momentum from fiscal surplus and prudent monetary policy, with year-on-year inflation now at 32.4%. Analyst surveys have lifted the full-year 2026 forecast only modestly to around 30%, supporting expectations that May will print below April’s level. The next INDEC release in mid-June will confirm whether the slowdown persists amid still-elevated core and seasonal components.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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