Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials have positioned no change as the leading outcome with 57.0% market-implied odds for the July base-rate decision, while a hike carries 42.5% odds and a cut just 1.3%. After holding the policy rate steady at 2.50% for seven consecutive meetings, including the unanimous April decision amid Middle East geopolitical risks, Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai noted in early May that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2% forecast. April CPI rose to 2.6% year-over-year, driven by higher oil prices, prompting traders to weigh data-dependent guidance ahead of the May 28 meeting and potential forward adjustments. Strong semiconductor export momentum continues to support activity, tempering downside risks and anchoring the close contest between hold and hike scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBank of Korea decision in July?
Без изменений 56%
Повышение 34%
Снижение 1.3%
$13,396 Объем
$13,396 Объем
Снижение
1%
Без изменений
56%
Повышение
47%
Без изменений 56%
Повышение 34%
Снижение 1.3%
$13,396 Объем
$13,396 Объем
Снижение
1%
Без изменений
56%
Повышение
47%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials have positioned no change as the leading outcome with 57.0% market-implied odds for the July base-rate decision, while a hike carries 42.5% odds and a cut just 1.3%. After holding the policy rate steady at 2.50% for seven consecutive meetings, including the unanimous April decision amid Middle East geopolitical risks, Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai noted in early May that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2% forecast. April CPI rose to 2.6% year-over-year, driven by higher oil prices, prompting traders to weigh data-dependent guidance ahead of the May 28 meeting and potential forward adjustments. Strong semiconductor export momentum continues to support activity, tempering downside risks and anchoring the close contest between hold and hike scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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