Recent candidate nominations and polling trends ahead of the June 3 by-elections have shaped trader views on the People Power Party’s performance. The PPP, now in opposition following the 2025 presidential loss, faces headwinds from low approval ratings and internal nomination disputes across multiple districts. With at least four confirmed parliamentary seats up for grabs alongside local races, observers note several competitive constituencies where incumbent or high-profile PPP figures hold ground, yet Democratic Party challengers lead in key swing areas. This environment supports market pricing around three seats as the most probable outcome, while lower figures reflect risks from turnout patterns and broader voter sentiment against the party’s recent record. Scheduled debates and final campaign pushes in the coming weeks could still adjust these assessments before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКоличество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
3 49%
2 32%
1 10.0%
4 8.2%
$36,831 Объем
$36,831 Объем
0
4%
1
10%
2
32%
3
49%
4
8%
5
2%
6+
1%
3 49%
2 32%
1 10.0%
4 8.2%
$36,831 Объем
$36,831 Объем
0
4%
1
10%
2
32%
3
49%
4
8%
5
2%
6+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent candidate nominations and polling trends ahead of the June 3 by-elections have shaped trader views on the People Power Party’s performance. The PPP, now in opposition following the 2025 presidential loss, faces headwinds from low approval ratings and internal nomination disputes across multiple districts. With at least four confirmed parliamentary seats up for grabs alongside local races, observers note several competitive constituencies where incumbent or high-profile PPP figures hold ground, yet Democratic Party challengers lead in key swing areas. This environment supports market pricing around three seats as the most probable outcome, while lower figures reflect risks from turnout patterns and broader voter sentiment against the party’s recent record. Scheduled debates and final campaign pushes in the coming weeks could still adjust these assessments before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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