Trader consensus on the Bank of Korea holding its 2.50% base rate unchanged in July at 70% implied probability stems from the central bank's data-dependent stance amid mixed signals on inflation and growth. Recent remarks from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai highlighted that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is likely to exceed prior 2.2% forecasts, prompting more hawkish forward guidance at the May 28 meeting. Geopolitical risks from Middle East conflicts continue to weigh on the outlook, supporting the unanimous April hold and limiting the odds of an immediate hike to 21%. A cut remains remote at 1.5% given price pressures above the 2% target. The July decision will hinge on incoming CPI and export data following the May policy meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBank of Korea decision in July?
Без изменений 73%
Повышение 23%
Снижение 1.6%
$13,142 Объем
$13,142 Объем
Снижение
2%
Без изменений
75%
Повышение
21%
Без изменений 73%
Повышение 23%
Снижение 1.6%
$13,142 Объем
$13,142 Объем
Снижение
2%
Без изменений
75%
Повышение
21%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Bank of Korea holding its 2.50% base rate unchanged in July at 70% implied probability stems from the central bank's data-dependent stance amid mixed signals on inflation and growth. Recent remarks from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai highlighted that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is likely to exceed prior 2.2% forecasts, prompting more hawkish forward guidance at the May 28 meeting. Geopolitical risks from Middle East conflicts continue to weigh on the outlook, supporting the unanimous April hold and limiting the odds of an immediate hike to 21%. A cut remains remote at 1.5% given price pressures above the 2% target. The July decision will hinge on incoming CPI and export data following the May policy meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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