The ruling Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for at least 14 National Assembly seats as the clear frontrunner, backed by its status as the incumbent governing party under President Lee Jae-myung and its control of a parliamentary majority. Twelve of the contested districts were previously held by the DP in the 2024 general election, creating a structural advantage that aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 10 or more seats won. The main opposition People Power Party remains weakened by internal divisions following the 2024 martial law crisis, limiting its ability to challenge in DP strongholds. Recent candidate nominations, including high-profile DP figures in key races such as Busan, have reinforced expectations of broad retention and possible gains. Traders appear to view these factors as durable through election day, with limited scope for late shifts absent major scandals or turnout surprises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКоличество мест, выигранных ДП на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
Количество мест, выигранных ДП на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
10+ 66.0%
8-9 33.1%
2–3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,505 Объем
$34,505 Объем
3 июн. 2026 г.
0-1
<1%
2–3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
25%
10+
72%
10+ 66.0%
8-9 33.1%
2–3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,505 Объем
$34,505 Объем
3 июн. 2026 г.
0-1
$3,928 Объем
<1%
2–3
$5,328 Объем
<1%
4-5
$3,763 Объем
<1%
6-7
$3,754 Объем
<1%
8-9
$4,373 Объем
25%
10+
$13,359 Объем
72%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The ruling Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for at least 14 National Assembly seats as the clear frontrunner, backed by its status as the incumbent governing party under President Lee Jae-myung and its control of a parliamentary majority. Twelve of the contested districts were previously held by the DP in the 2024 general election, creating a structural advantage that aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 10 or more seats won. The main opposition People Power Party remains weakened by internal divisions following the 2024 martial law crisis, limiting its ability to challenge in DP strongholds. Recent candidate nominations, including high-profile DP figures in key races such as Busan, have reinforced expectations of broad retention and possible gains. Traders appear to view these factors as durable through election day, with limited scope for late shifts absent major scandals or turnout surprises.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Объем
$34,505Дата окончания
3 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The ruling Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for at least 14 National Assembly seats as the clear frontrunner, backed by its status as the incumbent governing party under President Lee Jae-myung and its control of a parliamentary majority. Twelve of the contested districts were previously held by the DP in the 2024 general election, creating a structural advantage that aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 10 or more seats won. The main opposition People Power Party remains weakened by internal divisions following the 2024 martial law crisis, limiting its ability to challenge in DP strongholds. Recent candidate nominations, including high-profile DP figures in key races such as Busan, have reinforced expectations of broad retention and possible gains. Traders appear to view these factors as durable through election day, with limited scope for late shifts absent major scandals or turnout surprises.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Объем
$34,505Дата окончания
3 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The ruling Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for at least 14 National Assembly seats as the clear frontrunner, backed by its status as the incumbent governing party under President Lee Jae-myung and its control of a parliamentary majority. Twelve of the contested districts were previously held by the DP in the 2024 general election, creating a structural advantage that aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 10 or more seats won. The main opposition People Power Party remains weakened by internal divisions following the 2024 martial law crisis, limiting its ability to challenge in DP strongholds. Recent candidate nominations, including high-profile DP figures in key races such as Busan, have reinforced expectations of broad retention and possible gains. Traders appear to view these factors as durable through election day, with limited scope for late shifts absent major scandals or turnout surprises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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