A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York challenges the Truth API paid early-access service, alleging it violates the First Amendment by granting unequal access to President Trump’s official announcements for up to $100,000 monthly subscribers. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued. Federal district court procedures for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction typically span weeks or months, leaving insufficient time before the October 31 deadline for an adverse order or appeal. Traders assign 64% probability to “No” based on these procedural realities and the absence of emergency relief to date, while the service continues operating with reported customers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСуды заблокируют план раннего доступа Trump's $ 100,000 Truth Social до 31 октября?
Суды заблокируют план раннего доступа Trump's $ 100,000 Truth Social до 31 октября?
Да
35% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Да
35% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York challenges the Truth API paid early-access service, alleging it violates the First Amendment by granting unequal access to President Trump’s official announcements for up to $100,000 monthly subscribers. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued. Federal district court procedures for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction typically span weeks or months, leaving insufficient time before the October 31 deadline for an adverse order or appeal. Traders assign 64% probability to “No” based on these procedural realities and the absence of emergency relief to date, while the service continues operating with reported customers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Объем
$1,303Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York challenges the Truth API paid early-access service, alleging it violates the First Amendment by granting unequal access to President Trump’s official announcements for up to $100,000 monthly subscribers. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued. Federal district court procedures for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction typically span weeks or months, leaving insufficient time before the October 31 deadline for an adverse order or appeal. Traders assign 64% probability to “No” based on these procedural realities and the absence of emergency relief to date, while the service continues operating with reported customers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,303Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York challenges the Truth API paid early-access service, alleging it violates the First Amendment by granting unequal access to President Trump’s official announcements for up to $100,000 monthly subscribers. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued. Federal district court procedures for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction typically span weeks or months, leaving insufficient time before the October 31 deadline for an adverse order or appeal. Traders assign 64% probability to “No” based on these procedural realities and the absence of emergency relief to date, while the service continues operating with reported customers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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