Elon Musk’s consistent high-frequency posting on X has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges for the May 12-19 window, reflecting a sustained daily pace of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and cultural commentary. Recent days show steady engagement without the extreme spikes that occasionally push totals higher, keeping the market-implied odds tightly clustered in those mid-range buckets. With only a couple days remaining before the period closes, any late-week announcements on Tesla production or platform milestones could nudge volume upward, while a quieter finish would reinforce the current frontrunner positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено180-199 43.6%
200-219 29.9%
220-239 12.0%
160-179 5.5%
$9,647,872 Объем
$9,647,872 Объем
19 мая 2026 г.
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
44%
200-219
30%
220-239
12%
240-259
3%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 43.6%
200-219 29.9%
220-239 12.0%
160-179 5.5%
$9,647,872 Объем
$9,647,872 Объем
19 мая 2026 г.
140-159
$709,013 Объем
<1%
160-179
$465,759 Объем
5%
180-199
$370,139 Объем
44%
200-219
$353,370 Объем
30%
220-239
$380,116 Объем
12%
240-259
$309,583 Объем
3%
260-279
$294,739 Объем
1%
280-299
$268,922 Объем
<1%
300-319
$323,286 Объем
<1%
320-339
$400,517 Объем
<1%
340-359
$431,224 Объем
<1%
360-379
$416,794 Объем
<1%
380-399
$400,319 Объем
<1%
400-419
$544,870 Объем
<1%
420-439
$157,801 Объем
<1%
440-459
$82,148 Объем
<1%
460-479
$67,044 Объем
<1%
480-499
$29,190 Объем
<1%
500+
$241,769 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-frequency posting on X has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges for the May 12-19 window, reflecting a sustained daily pace of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and cultural commentary. Recent days show steady engagement without the extreme spikes that occasionally push totals higher, keeping the market-implied odds tightly clustered in those mid-range buckets. With only a couple days remaining before the period closes, any late-week announcements on Tesla production or platform milestones could nudge volume upward, while a quieter finish would reinforce the current frontrunner positioning.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Объем
$9,647,872Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-frequency posting on X has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges for the May 12-19 window, reflecting a sustained daily pace of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and cultural commentary. Recent days show steady engagement without the extreme spikes that occasionally push totals higher, keeping the market-implied odds tightly clustered in those mid-range buckets. With only a couple days remaining before the period closes, any late-week announcements on Tesla production or platform milestones could nudge volume upward, while a quieter finish would reinforce the current frontrunner positioning.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$9,647,872Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent high-frequency posting on X has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges for the May 12-19 window, reflecting a sustained daily pace of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product updates, Grok feature rollouts, and cultural commentary. Recent days show steady engagement without the extreme spikes that occasionally push totals higher, keeping the market-implied odds tightly clustered in those mid-range buckets. With only a couple days remaining before the period closes, any late-week announcements on Tesla production or platform milestones could nudge volume upward, while a quieter finish would reinforce the current frontrunner positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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