Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено180-199 46.5%
200-219 31.6%
220-239 10.8%
160-179 4.9%
$9,660,062 Объем
$9,660,062 Объем
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
46%
200-219
32%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 46.5%
200-219 31.6%
220-239 10.8%
160-179 4.9%
$9,660,062 Объем
$9,660,062 Объем
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
46%
200-219
32%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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