Elon Musk's established pattern of frequent posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for the May 16–18 window, with the 40–64 tweet range holding an implied probability near 69 percent. His typical daily output of 10–25 posts during routine periods of news commentary, company updates, and audience engagement produces totals in this band absent major breaking events. The shorter three-day span and mid-week timing further support moderate volume expectations, while any sudden industry announcements or viral exchanges could push counts toward the 65–89 range. Historical activity data shows these outcomes align with his baseline behavior outside of high-stakes launches or controversies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 70%
65-89 28%
90-114 1.7%
Менее 40 1.6%
$664,903 Объем
$664,903 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
Менее 40
2%
40-64
70%
65-89
28%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165–189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 70%
65-89 28%
90-114 1.7%
Менее 40 1.6%
$664,903 Объем
$664,903 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
Менее 40
$201,839 Объем
2%
40-64
$59,625 Объем
70%
65-89
$64,995 Объем
28%
90-114
$87,261 Объем
2%
115-139
$65,410 Объем
<1%
140-164
$61,100 Объем
<1%
165–189
$53,265 Объем
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Объем
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Объем
<1%
240+
$18,696 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of frequent posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for the May 16–18 window, with the 40–64 tweet range holding an implied probability near 69 percent. His typical daily output of 10–25 posts during routine periods of news commentary, company updates, and audience engagement produces totals in this band absent major breaking events. The shorter three-day span and mid-week timing further support moderate volume expectations, while any sudden industry announcements or viral exchanges could push counts toward the 65–89 range. Historical activity data shows these outcomes align with his baseline behavior outside of high-stakes launches or controversies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Объем
$664,903Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of frequent posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for the May 16–18 window, with the 40–64 tweet range holding an implied probability near 69 percent. His typical daily output of 10–25 posts during routine periods of news commentary, company updates, and audience engagement produces totals in this band absent major breaking events. The shorter three-day span and mid-week timing further support moderate volume expectations, while any sudden industry announcements or viral exchanges could push counts toward the 65–89 range. Historical activity data shows these outcomes align with his baseline behavior outside of high-stakes launches or controversies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$664,903Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established pattern of frequent posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for the May 16–18 window, with the 40–64 tweet range holding an implied probability near 69 percent. His typical daily output of 10–25 posts during routine periods of news commentary, company updates, and audience engagement produces totals in this band absent major breaking events. The shorter three-day span and mid-week timing further support moderate volume expectations, while any sudden industry announcements or viral exchanges could push counts toward the 65–89 range. Historical activity data shows these outcomes align with his baseline behavior outside of high-stakes launches or controversies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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