Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 75%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$856,816 Объем
$856,816 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
Менее 40
<1%
40-64
75%
65-89
22%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165–189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 75%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$856,816 Объем
$856,816 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
Менее 40
$343,264 Объем
<1%
40-64
$77,505 Объем
75%
65-89
$81,335 Объем
22%
90-114
$100,381 Объем
1%
115-139
$69,014 Объем
<1%
140-164
$61,120 Объем
<1%
165–189
$53,265 Объем
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Объем
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Объем
<1%
240+
$18,696 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Объем
$856,816Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$856,816Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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