Traders assign the strongest implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X between May 18 and May 20, reflecting his recent steady engagement pace rather than viral spikes. His activity on the platform often tracks company developments at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, yet no major product launches or regulatory events are scheduled for this window, keeping volume in the moderate range. Historical patterns during quiet mid-week stretches show daily averages that align with the leading bin, while higher counts would require unexpected news to accelerate posting. Weekend timing and the brief three-day period further constrain upside potential, leaving lower ranges as clear underdogs in current sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 53%
65–89 27%
менее 40 17%
90-114 6%
НОВОЕ
$39,755 Объем
НОВОЕ
$39,755 Объем
20 мая 2026 г.
менее 40
17%
40-64
53%
65–89
27%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 53%
65–89 27%
менее 40 17%
90-114 6%
НОВОЕ
$39,755 Объем
НОВОЕ
$39,755 Объем
20 мая 2026 г.
менее 40
$2,159 Объем
17%
40-64
$3,543 Объем
53%
65–89
$2,524 Объем
27%
90-114
$5,204 Объем
6%
115-139
$3,760 Объем
1%
140-164
$2,581 Объем
<1%
165-189
$4,005 Объем
<1%
190-214
$3,844 Объем
<1%
215-239
$5,974 Объем
<1%
240+
$6,165 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the strongest implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X between May 18 and May 20, reflecting his recent steady engagement pace rather than viral spikes. His activity on the platform often tracks company developments at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, yet no major product launches or regulatory events are scheduled for this window, keeping volume in the moderate range. Historical patterns during quiet mid-week stretches show daily averages that align with the leading bin, while higher counts would require unexpected news to accelerate posting. Weekend timing and the brief three-day period further constrain upside potential, leaving lower ranges as clear underdogs in current sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Объем
$39,755Дата окончания
20 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the strongest implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X between May 18 and May 20, reflecting his recent steady engagement pace rather than viral spikes. His activity on the platform often tracks company developments at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, yet no major product launches or regulatory events are scheduled for this window, keeping volume in the moderate range. Historical patterns during quiet mid-week stretches show daily averages that align with the leading bin, while higher counts would require unexpected news to accelerate posting. Weekend timing and the brief three-day period further constrain upside potential, leaving lower ranges as clear underdogs in current sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$39,755Дата окончания
20 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders assign the strongest implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X between May 18 and May 20, reflecting his recent steady engagement pace rather than viral spikes. His activity on the platform often tracks company developments at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, yet no major product launches or regulatory events are scheduled for this window, keeping volume in the moderate range. Historical patterns during quiet mid-week stretches show daily averages that align with the leading bin, while higher counts would require unexpected news to accelerate posting. Weekend timing and the brief three-day period further constrain upside potential, leaving lower ranges as clear underdogs in current sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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