Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено840–879 11.8%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,151,222 Объем
$3,151,222 Объем
1 июн. 2026 г.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380–399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420–439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460–479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600–619
1%
620–639
1%
640-659
2%
660–679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760–779
5%
780-799
7%
800-839
10%
840–879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040–1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160–1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360–1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440–1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840–879 11.8%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,151,222 Объем
$3,151,222 Объем
1 июн. 2026 г.
340-359
$69,472 Объем
<1%
360-379
$55,291 Объем
<1%
380–399
$58,220 Объем
<1%
400-419
$56,871 Объем
<1%
420–439
$43,409 Объем
<1%
440-459
$54,448 Объем
<1%
460–479
$63,303 Объем
<1%
480-499
$58,382 Объем
<1%
500-519
$64,925 Объем
<1%
520-539
$53,161 Объем
<1%
540-559
$45,810 Объем
1%
560-579
$43,735 Объем
1%
580-599
$49,462 Объем
1%
600–619
$43,146 Объем
1%
620–639
$39,650 Объем
1%
640-659
$44,359 Объем
2%
660–679
$38,150 Объем
2%
680-699
$34,878 Объем
3%
700-719
$46,047 Объем
4%
720-739
$48,036 Объем
4%
740-759
$39,816 Объем
6%
760–779
$41,038 Объем
5%
780-799
$43,951 Объем
7%
800-839
$46,099 Объем
10%
840–879
$36,714 Объем
12%
880-919
$40,160 Объем
9%
920-959
$37,623 Объем
10%
960-999
$35,340 Объем
8%
1000-1039
$36,121 Объем
5%
1040–1079
$33,379 Объем
4%
1080-1119
$40,136 Объем
2%
1120-1159
$50,723 Объем
1%
1160–1199
$56,655 Объем
<1%
1200-1239
$55,495 Объем
<1%
1240-1279
$67,489 Объем
<1%
1280-1319
$59,982 Объем
<1%
1320-1359
$59,746 Объем
<1%
1360–1399
$44,609 Объем
<1%
1400-1439
$74,110 Объем
<1%
1440–1479
$45,365 Объем
<1%
1480-1519
$25,045 Объем
<1%
1520-1559
$27,191 Объем
<1%
1560-1599
$32,981 Объем
<1%
1600-1679
$39,619 Объем
<1%
1680-1759
$40,902 Объем
<1%
1760-1839
$34,463 Объем
<1%
1840-1919
$27,564 Объем
<1%
1920-1999
$62,382 Объем
<1%
2000+
$292,699 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$3,151,222Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$3,151,222Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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