Elon Musk’s posting volume in May 2026 remains tightly contested because his output fluctuates sharply with business demands and public events rather than following a steady rhythm. Traders see the narrow spread between the 840–959 ranges as evidence that recent activity at Tesla and xAI has kept daily tweets in a moderate band, while any major product announcement or regulatory development could push totals higher. Historical patterns show Musk often exceeds 900 tweets when multiple launches or earnings cycles overlap, yet quieter weeks tied to travel or internal focus can drop counts below 800. The market’s clustered probabilities therefore reflect uncertainty over whether May will include high-visibility catalysts or settle into routine commentary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено840–879 10.0%
880-919 10.0%
920-959 9.8%
800-839 9.4%
$3,202,262 Объем
$3,202,262 Объем
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380–399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420–439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460–479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600–619
1%
620–639
1%
640-659
2%
660–679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760–779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
9%
840–879
10%
880-919
10%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040–1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160–1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360–1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440–1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840–879 10.0%
880-919 10.0%
920-959 9.8%
800-839 9.4%
$3,202,262 Объем
$3,202,262 Объем
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380–399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420–439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460–479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600–619
1%
620–639
1%
640-659
2%
660–679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760–779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
9%
840–879
10%
880-919
10%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040–1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160–1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360–1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440–1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting volume in May 2026 remains tightly contested because his output fluctuates sharply with business demands and public events rather than following a steady rhythm. Traders see the narrow spread between the 840–959 ranges as evidence that recent activity at Tesla and xAI has kept daily tweets in a moderate band, while any major product announcement or regulatory development could push totals higher. Historical patterns show Musk often exceeds 900 tweets when multiple launches or earnings cycles overlap, yet quieter weeks tied to travel or internal focus can drop counts below 800. The market’s clustered probabilities therefore reflect uncertainty over whether May will include high-visibility catalysts or settle into routine commentary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы