Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market have anchored trader expectations against an unscheduled Federal Reserve rate cut through 2026, with the 91.5% implied probability for no emergency action reflecting broad consensus on data-driven stability. Core inflation readings remain elevated and have trended higher amid energy price shocks from Middle East developments, while April 2026 employment data showed solid job gains that reinforced the central bank's hold stance at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target. Market pricing aligns with forecasts from major banks anticipating steady policy through year-end before any potential easing in 2027. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this include a sharp escalation in financial stress or an abrupt labor market deterioration severe enough to prompt an intermeeting move, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$105,161 Объем
$105,161 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$105,161 Объем
$105,161 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market have anchored trader expectations against an unscheduled Federal Reserve rate cut through 2026, with the 91.5% implied probability for no emergency action reflecting broad consensus on data-driven stability. Core inflation readings remain elevated and have trended higher amid energy price shocks from Middle East developments, while April 2026 employment data showed solid job gains that reinforced the central bank's hold stance at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target. Market pricing aligns with forecasts from major banks anticipating steady policy through year-end before any potential easing in 2027. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this include a sharp escalation in financial stress or an abrupt labor market deterioration severe enough to prompt an intermeeting move, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Объем
$105,161Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market have anchored trader expectations against an unscheduled Federal Reserve rate cut through 2026, with the 91.5% implied probability for no emergency action reflecting broad consensus on data-driven stability. Core inflation readings remain elevated and have trended higher amid energy price shocks from Middle East developments, while April 2026 employment data showed solid job gains that reinforced the central bank's hold stance at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target. Market pricing aligns with forecasts from major banks anticipating steady policy through year-end before any potential easing in 2027. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this include a sharp escalation in financial stress or an abrupt labor market deterioration severe enough to prompt an intermeeting move, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Объем
$105,161Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market have anchored trader expectations against an unscheduled Federal Reserve rate cut through 2026, with the 91.5% implied probability for no emergency action reflecting broad consensus on data-driven stability. Core inflation readings remain elevated and have trended higher amid energy price shocks from Middle East developments, while April 2026 employment data showed solid job gains that reinforced the central bank's hold stance at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target. Market pricing aligns with forecasts from major banks anticipating steady policy through year-end before any potential easing in 2027. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this include a sharp escalation in financial stress or an abrupt labor market deterioration severe enough to prompt an intermeeting move, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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