Recent U.S. economic data underscore the 94% market-implied odds against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75%, July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, unemployment near 4.1%, and Q2 GDP expanding at a 1.5% annualized pace, the economy shows resilience without signs of acute distress that would prompt unscheduled easing. Forward-looking indicators, including FOMC projections and futures pricing, point to a hold or modest hikes through year-end amid persistent inflation pressures above target. Trader consensus reflects this stability, reinforced by real capital at risk in prediction markets. A sharp recession, major geopolitical energy shock, or sudden financial-market dislocation could still force a rapid response, though such outcomes currently appear low-probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
6% вероятность
$137,727 Объем
$137,727 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
6% вероятность
$137,727 Объем
$137,727 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Recent U.S. economic data underscore the 94% market-implied odds against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75%, July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, unemployment near 4.1%, and Q2 GDP expanding at a 1.5% annualized pace, the economy shows resilience without signs of acute distress that would prompt unscheduled easing. Forward-looking indicators, including FOMC projections and futures pricing, point to a hold or modest hikes through year-end amid persistent inflation pressures above target. Trader consensus reflects this stability, reinforced by real capital at risk in prediction markets. A sharp recession, major geopolitical energy shock, or sudden financial-market dislocation could still force a rapid response, though such outcomes currently appear low-probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Объем
$137,727Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Recent U.S. economic data underscore the 94% market-implied odds against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75%, July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, unemployment near 4.1%, and Q2 GDP expanding at a 1.5% annualized pace, the economy shows resilience without signs of acute distress that would prompt unscheduled easing. Forward-looking indicators, including FOMC projections and futures pricing, point to a hold or modest hikes through year-end amid persistent inflation pressures above target. Trader consensus reflects this stability, reinforced by real capital at risk in prediction markets. A sharp recession, major geopolitical energy shock, or sudden financial-market dislocation could still force a rapid response, though such outcomes currently appear low-probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Объем
$137,727Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. economic data underscore the 94% market-implied odds against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75%, July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, unemployment near 4.1%, and Q2 GDP expanding at a 1.5% annualized pace, the economy shows resilience without signs of acute distress that would prompt unscheduled easing. Forward-looking indicators, including FOMC projections and futures pricing, point to a hold or modest hikes through year-end amid persistent inflation pressures above target. Trader consensus reflects this stability, reinforced by real capital at risk in prediction markets. A sharp recession, major geopolitical energy shock, or sudden financial-market dislocation could still force a rapid response, though such outcomes currently appear low-probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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