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icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?

авг. 1

авг. 2

авг. 1

авг. 2

100-101°F 39%

98-99°F 38%

102-103°F 14%

96-97°F 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

100-101°F 39%

98-99°F 38%

102-103°F 14%

96-97°F 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

91°F или ниже

$27 Объем

<1%

92-93°F

$53 Объем

1%

94-95°F

$29 Объем

2%

96-97°F

$431 Объем

9%

98-99°F

$102 Объем

38%

100-101°F

$150 Объем

39%

102-103°F

$11 Объем

14%

104-105°F

$7 Объем

4%

106-107°F

$57 Объем

1%

108-109°F

$53 Объем

<1%

110°F или выше

$87 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Sunday high near 101–102°F in Austin, driven by persistent warm, humid air under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with early-August climatology where average maxima hover near 98–99°F, but recent heat has pushed readings higher. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle steering patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°F either way, explaining why market-implied odds sit nearly even between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will determine the exact daily maximum for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,007
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Sunday high near 101–102°F in Austin, driven by persistent warm, humid air under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with early-August climatology where average maxima hover near 98–99°F, but recent heat has pushed readings higher. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle steering patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°F either way, explaining why market-implied odds sit nearly even between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will determine the exact daily maximum for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,007
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Остине между 98-99°F 1 августа?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Остине между 98-99°F 1 августа?

52%
Да
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Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 2?

36%
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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?

46%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «100-101°F» с 39%, за ним следует «98-99°F» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?» — «100-101°F» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «98-99°F» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.