Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul's June 11 high near 24–27 °C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate northeasterly flow and Bosphorus sea-breeze effects capping afternoon peaks. Historical June averages hover around 25–26 °C, supporting the market's tight clustering on 23–25 °C outcomes. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no significant warming signals, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values while lower odds for 26 °C or above reflect limited intensification potential. Traders are weighting official station data thresholds and timing windows through the afternoon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 38%
25°C 33%
23°C 23%
26°C 6%
$11,739 Объем
$11,739 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
23%
24°C
38%
25°C
33%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
25°C 33%
23°C 23%
26°C 6%
$11,739 Объем
$11,739 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
23%
24°C
38%
25°C
33%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul's June 11 high near 24–27 °C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate northeasterly flow and Bosphorus sea-breeze effects capping afternoon peaks. Historical June averages hover around 25–26 °C, supporting the market's tight clustering on 23–25 °C outcomes. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no significant warming signals, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values while lower odds for 26 °C or above reflect limited intensification potential. Traders are weighting official station data thresholds and timing windows through the afternoon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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