Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 6, with daytime highs likely peaking between 28–32 °C under high pressure and light variable winds. This range aligns with early-September climatology, where clear skies maximize solar heating while the adjacent Sea of Marmara moderates extremes through sea-breeze effects and high thermal inertia. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development, keeping probabilities closely clustered around 28–32 °C. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 6 сентября?
31°C 36%
32°C 34%
29°C 27%
28°C 20%
25°C или ниже
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
20%
29°C
27%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
34%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C или выше
2%
31°C 36%
32°C 34%
29°C 27%
28°C 20%
25°C или ниже
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
20%
29°C
27%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
34%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 6, with daytime highs likely peaking between 28–32 °C under high pressure and light variable winds. This range aligns with early-September climatology, where clear skies maximize solar heating while the adjacent Sea of Marmara moderates extremes through sea-breeze effects and high thermal inertia. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development, keeping probabilities closely clustered around 28–32 °C. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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