Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and international aggregators project daytime highs of 32–35°C in Jinan on August 22, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure and warm advection over eastern China. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31–33°C with frequent exceedances above 34°C, providing strong context for the 99.5% market-implied probability on 26°C or higher. Minor model spread exists around isolated thunderstorms, yet none indicate a significant cooling shift before resolution. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or measurement error at the official station, though current consensus makes such outcomes improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 22 августа?
26°C or higher 99.4%
25°C <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
25°C <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and international aggregators project daytime highs of 32–35°C in Jinan on August 22, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure and warm advection over eastern China. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31–33°C with frequent exceedances above 34°C, providing strong context for the 99.5% market-implied probability on 26°C or higher. Minor model spread exists around isolated thunderstorms, yet none indicate a significant cooling shift before resolution. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or measurement error at the official station, though current consensus makes such outcomes improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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