**Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather project overnight lows for Jinan on August 22 around 23–25°C, with daytime highs near 33–35°C under mostly sunny conditions and light easterly winds.** This aligns with Jinan’s late-August climatology, where average daily lows typically range from 21–24°C as the season transitions from peak summer heat, supported by historical data showing rare drops below 20°C without major synoptic shifts. The dominant 97.5% market-implied probability for a minimum of 22°C or higher reflects strong consensus on these stable warm conditions, reinforced by the absence of incoming cooler air masses or significant precipitation that could enhance radiative cooling overnight. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this positioning include an unexpected rapid influx of northerly winds or unforecasted cloud cover increasing nocturnal cooling, though model agreement and the short lead time make such changes improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Цзинане 22 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Цзинане 22 августа?
22°C или выше 98%
19°C 25%
17°C 5%
20°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
25%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C или выше
98%
22°C или выше 98%
19°C 25%
17°C 5%
20°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$21 Объем
1%
13°C
$21 Объем
1%
14°C
$21 Объем
1%
15°C
$21 Объем
1%
16°C
$21 Объем
1%
17°C
$21 Объем
5%
18°C
$21 Объем
1%
19°C
$21 Объем
25%
20°C
$21 Объем
3%
21°C
$21 Объем
3%
22°C или выше
$58 Объем
98%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather project overnight lows for Jinan on August 22 around 23–25°C, with daytime highs near 33–35°C under mostly sunny conditions and light easterly winds.** This aligns with Jinan’s late-August climatology, where average daily lows typically range from 21–24°C as the season transitions from peak summer heat, supported by historical data showing rare drops below 20°C without major synoptic shifts. The dominant 97.5% market-implied probability for a minimum of 22°C or higher reflects strong consensus on these stable warm conditions, reinforced by the absence of incoming cooler air masses or significant precipitation that could enhance radiative cooling overnight.
Realistic scenarios that could challenge this positioning include an unexpected rapid influx of northerly winds or unforecasted cloud cover increasing nocturnal cooling, though model agreement and the short lead time make such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$272Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather project overnight lows for Jinan on August 22 around 23–25°C, with daytime highs near 33–35°C under mostly sunny conditions and light easterly winds.** This aligns with Jinan’s late-August climatology, where average daily lows typically range from 21–24°C as the season transitions from peak summer heat, supported by historical data showing rare drops below 20°C without major synoptic shifts. The dominant 97.5% market-implied probability for a minimum of 22°C or higher reflects strong consensus on these stable warm conditions, reinforced by the absence of incoming cooler air masses or significant precipitation that could enhance radiative cooling overnight.
Realistic scenarios that could challenge this positioning include an unexpected rapid influx of northerly winds or unforecasted cloud cover increasing nocturnal cooling, though model agreement and the short lead time make such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$272Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather project overnight lows for Jinan on August 22 around 23–25°C, with daytime highs near 33–35°C under mostly sunny conditions and light easterly winds.** This aligns with Jinan’s late-August climatology, where average daily lows typically range from 21–24°C as the season transitions from peak summer heat, supported by historical data showing rare drops below 20°C without major synoptic shifts. The dominant 97.5% market-implied probability for a minimum of 22°C or higher reflects strong consensus on these stable warm conditions, reinforced by the absence of incoming cooler air masses or significant precipitation that could enhance radiative cooling overnight. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this positioning include an unexpected rapid influx of northerly winds or unforecasted cloud cover increasing nocturnal cooling, though model agreement and the short lead time make such changes improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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