Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates Jinan will reach a daily high near 28–29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, well above the 26°C threshold. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region, where maximum temperatures often peak near 26–28°C amid subsiding monsoon influences and increasing solar insolation. Official short-term model runs show minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions supporting daytime warming. The market’s near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher reflects this strong observational and model agreement. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover or an abrupt frontal passage could realistically suppress temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 21 сентября?
26°C или выше 99.8%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,536 Объем
$2,536 Объем
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
100%
26°C или выше 99.8%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,536 Объем
$2,536 Объем
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates Jinan will reach a daily high near 28–29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, well above the 26°C threshold. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region, where maximum temperatures often peak near 26–28°C amid subsiding monsoon influences and increasing solar insolation. Official short-term model runs show minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions supporting daytime warming. The market’s near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher reflects this strong observational and model agreement. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover or an abrupt frontal passage could realistically suppress temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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