Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and TimeandDate indicate Madrid highs near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies with light winds, supporting the near-even split between 34°C and 35°C market-implied odds. A building high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover are enabling daytime heating, while subtle differences in model runs for peak timing and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between those two thresholds. With June climatology favoring progressive warming and recent days already seeing 32–33°C readings, traders weigh the potential for an extra degree of insolation against any late-day cooling or slight wind increase. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
34°C 39%
35°C 39%
36°C 13%
33°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июн. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
39%
35°C
39%
36°C
13%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 39%
35°C 39%
36°C 13%
33°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июн. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$487 Объем
<1%
28°C
$417 Объем
<1%
29°C
$417 Объем
<1%
30°C
$417 Объем
<1%
31°C
$467 Объем
<1%
32°C
$51 Объем
3%
33°C
$193 Объем
13%
34°C
$226 Объем
39%
35°C
$339 Объем
39%
36°C
$83 Объем
13%
37°C or higher
$51 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and TimeandDate indicate Madrid highs near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies with light winds, supporting the near-even split between 34°C and 35°C market-implied odds. A building high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover are enabling daytime heating, while subtle differences in model runs for peak timing and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between those two thresholds. With June climatology favoring progressive warming and recent days already seeing 32–33°C readings, traders weigh the potential for an extra degree of insolation against any late-day cooling or slight wind increase. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$3,073Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and TimeandDate indicate Madrid highs near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies with light winds, supporting the near-even split between 34°C and 35°C market-implied odds. A building high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover are enabling daytime heating, while subtle differences in model runs for peak timing and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between those two thresholds. With June climatology favoring progressive warming and recent days already seeing 32–33°C readings, traders weigh the potential for an extra degree of insolation against any late-day cooling or slight wind increase. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,073Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and TimeandDate indicate Madrid highs near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies with light winds, supporting the near-even split between 34°C and 35°C market-implied odds. A building high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover are enabling daytime heating, while subtle differences in model runs for peak timing and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between those two thresholds. With June climatology favoring progressive warming and recent days already seeing 32–33°C readings, traders weigh the potential for an extra degree of insolation against any late-day cooling or slight wind increase. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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