Recent forecast models from sources including GFS outputs and regional analyses indicate peak daytime temperatures in Manila on September 13 will likely reach 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping extremes. Light variable winds and typical September climatology, featuring frequent precipitation that historically keeps highs near or below 30°C, support this range. Trader emphasis on 32°C reflects model spread and potential for brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ align with suppressed maxima from ongoing convective activity. Updated PAGASA and NOAA guidance expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 13 сентября?
32°C 39%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
39%
33°C
20%
34°C или выше
9%
32°C 39%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$247 Объем
<1%
25°C
$287 Объем
<1%
26°C
$275 Объем
<1%
27°C
$113 Объем
<1%
28°C
$733 Объем
1%
29°C
$349 Объем
3%
30°C
$468 Объем
10%
31°C
$1,467 Объем
25%
32°C
$1,480 Объем
39%
33°C
$748 Объем
20%
34°C или выше
$465 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS outputs and regional analyses indicate peak daytime temperatures in Manila on September 13 will likely reach 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping extremes. Light variable winds and typical September climatology, featuring frequent precipitation that historically keeps highs near or below 30°C, support this range. Trader emphasis on 32°C reflects model spread and potential for brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ align with suppressed maxima from ongoing convective activity. Updated PAGASA and NOAA guidance expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$6,632Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS outputs and regional analyses indicate peak daytime temperatures in Manila on September 13 will likely reach 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping extremes. Light variable winds and typical September climatology, featuring frequent precipitation that historically keeps highs near or below 30°C, support this range. Trader emphasis on 32°C reflects model spread and potential for brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ align with suppressed maxima from ongoing convective activity. Updated PAGASA and NOAA guidance expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,632Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS outputs and regional analyses indicate peak daytime temperatures in Manila on September 13 will likely reach 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping extremes. Light variable winds and typical September climatology, featuring frequent precipitation that historically keeps highs near or below 30°C, support this range. Trader emphasis on 32°C reflects model spread and potential for brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ align with suppressed maxima from ongoing convective activity. Updated PAGASA and NOAA guidance expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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