Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C for Manila’s September 13 minimum because persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 percent, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to suppress radiative cooling overnight. Tropical monsoon conditions and the urban heat island effect keep nighttime temperatures from dropping sharply, with official guidance pointing to lows near 25°C. Minor differences among numerical models on exact rain timing and wind shifts create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, while the low odds for sub-20°C outcomes align with climatological rarity in September. Updated regional forecasts tonight will clarify whether any clearing window allows a slightly cooler reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Маниле 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Маниле 13 сентября?
29°C или выше 59%
19°C или ниже 58%
22°C 40%
25°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
58%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
26%
25°C
32%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
40%
29°C или выше
59%
29°C или выше 59%
19°C или ниже 58%
22°C 40%
25°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$0 Объем
58%
20°C
$0 Объем
8%
21°C
$0 Объем
8%
22°C
$79 Объем
40%
23°C
$62 Объем
22%
24°C
$0 Объем
26%
25°C
$5 Объем
32%
26°C
$0 Объем
24%
27°C
$40 Объем
22%
28°C
$0 Объем
40%
29°C или выше
$0 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C for Manila’s September 13 minimum because persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 percent, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to suppress radiative cooling overnight. Tropical monsoon conditions and the urban heat island effect keep nighttime temperatures from dropping sharply, with official guidance pointing to lows near 25°C. Minor differences among numerical models on exact rain timing and wind shifts create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, while the low odds for sub-20°C outcomes align with climatological rarity in September. Updated regional forecasts tonight will clarify whether any clearing window allows a slightly cooler reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$185Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C for Manila’s September 13 minimum because persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 percent, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to suppress radiative cooling overnight. Tropical monsoon conditions and the urban heat island effect keep nighttime temperatures from dropping sharply, with official guidance pointing to lows near 25°C. Minor differences among numerical models on exact rain timing and wind shifts create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, while the low odds for sub-20°C outcomes align with climatological rarity in September. Updated regional forecasts tonight will clarify whether any clearing window allows a slightly cooler reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$185Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C for Manila’s September 13 minimum because persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 percent, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to suppress radiative cooling overnight. Tropical monsoon conditions and the urban heat island effect keep nighttime temperatures from dropping sharply, with official guidance pointing to lows near 25°C. Minor differences among numerical models on exact rain timing and wind shifts create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, while the low odds for sub-20°C outcomes align with climatological rarity in September. Updated regional forecasts tonight will clarify whether any clearing window allows a slightly cooler reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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