Current forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate place Mexico City’s high for August 24 near 19–23 °C, centering trader attention on the tightly bunched 19–21 °C outcomes. Mexico City’s high elevation keeps daytime maxima moderate even in the rainy season, while model consensus points to variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. Recent extended-range guidance shows slight cooling relative to August climatology (typical highs ~23–24 °C), with uncertainty arising from the timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated model runs overnight and any NHC or local meteorological service bulletins will likely drive the final shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 24 августа?
20°C 35%
21°C 31%
19°C 22%
22°C 8%
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
22%
20°C
35%
21°C
31%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 35%
21°C 31%
19°C 22%
22°C 8%
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
22%
20°C
35%
21°C
31%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate place Mexico City’s high for August 24 near 19–23 °C, centering trader attention on the tightly bunched 19–21 °C outcomes. Mexico City’s high elevation keeps daytime maxima moderate even in the rainy season, while model consensus points to variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. Recent extended-range guidance shows slight cooling relative to August climatology (typical highs ~23–24 °C), with uncertainty arising from the timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated model runs overnight and any NHC or local meteorological service bulletins will likely drive the final shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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