Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 24 августа?
9°C или ниже 88%
19°C или выше 48%
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
9°C или ниже
88%
10°C
32%
11°C
19%
12°C
16%
13°C
20%
14°C
19%
15°C
20%
16°C
15%
17°C
34%
18°C
34%
19°C или выше
48%
9°C или ниже 88%
19°C или выше 48%
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
9°C или ниже
88%
10°C
32%
11°C
19%
12°C
16%
13°C
20%
14°C
19%
15°C
20%
16°C
15%
17°C
34%
18°C
34%
19°C или выше
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы