**Recent China Meteorological Administration model runs and regional observations have locked in expectations for a 30°C peak in Qingdao on June 11, 2026, driven by warm southwesterly flow and clear-sky solar heating under stable high pressure.** With the market assigning 99.5% implied probability to exactly 30°C, traders are aligning with verified forecast consensus showing daily maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with climatological June warming trends along the Yellow Sea coast. Minor model discrepancies or localized sea-breeze effects could still cap the reading at 29°C, while any unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or afternoon cloud build-up remains the primary risk that could realistically shift resolution away from the dominant outcome before official daily maximum reporting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 99.5%
31°C or higher <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$27,955 Объем
$27,955 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.5%
31°C or higher <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$27,955 Объем
$27,955 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent China Meteorological Administration model runs and regional observations have locked in expectations for a 30°C peak in Qingdao on June 11, 2026, driven by warm southwesterly flow and clear-sky solar heating under stable high pressure.** With the market assigning 99.5% implied probability to exactly 30°C, traders are aligning with verified forecast consensus showing daily maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with climatological June warming trends along the Yellow Sea coast. Minor model discrepancies or localized sea-breeze effects could still cap the reading at 29°C, while any unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or afternoon cloud build-up remains the primary risk that could realistically shift resolution away from the dominant outcome before official daily maximum reporting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы