**Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Tel Aviv’s August 11 maximum reflects ensemble forecasts from global and regional models showing seasonal-to-slightly-above-average conditions.** Long-range guidance, including AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook, places daily highs in the 29–34°C range, with the 11th falling near the upper end amid typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns of high pressure and light winds. Israel Meteorological Service updates note a modest temperature rise and elevated heat-stress indices in the coming days, supporting the market’s implied probabilities without signaling an extreme heatwave. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, so current model runs favor a modest positive anomaly rather than record values. Short-range refinements from the IMS and ECMWF runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 11 августа?
35°C 47%
36°C 33%
34°C 13%
37°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
31°C или ниже
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
47%
36°C
33%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C или выше
<1%
35°C 47%
36°C 33%
34°C 13%
37°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
31°C или ниже
$25 Объем
<1%
32°C
$548 Объем
1%
33°C
$142 Объем
2%
34°C
$663 Объем
13%
35°C
$262 Объем
47%
36°C
$559 Объем
33%
37°C
$77 Объем
8%
38°C
$54 Объем
1%
39°C
$15 Объем
2%
40°C
$15 Объем
2%
41°C или выше
$25 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Tel Aviv’s August 11 maximum reflects ensemble forecasts from global and regional models showing seasonal-to-slightly-above-average conditions.** Long-range guidance, including AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook, places daily highs in the 29–34°C range, with the 11th falling near the upper end amid typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns of high pressure and light winds. Israel Meteorological Service updates note a modest temperature rise and elevated heat-stress indices in the coming days, supporting the market’s implied probabilities without signaling an extreme heatwave. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, so current model runs favor a modest positive anomaly rather than record values. Short-range refinements from the IMS and ECMWF runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$2,380Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Tel Aviv’s August 11 maximum reflects ensemble forecasts from global and regional models showing seasonal-to-slightly-above-average conditions.** Long-range guidance, including AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook, places daily highs in the 29–34°C range, with the 11th falling near the upper end amid typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns of high pressure and light winds. Israel Meteorological Service updates note a modest temperature rise and elevated heat-stress indices in the coming days, supporting the market’s implied probabilities without signaling an extreme heatwave. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, so current model runs favor a modest positive anomaly rather than record values. Short-range refinements from the IMS and ECMWF runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,380Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Tel Aviv’s August 11 maximum reflects ensemble forecasts from global and regional models showing seasonal-to-slightly-above-average conditions.** Long-range guidance, including AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook, places daily highs in the 29–34°C range, with the 11th falling near the upper end amid typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns of high pressure and light winds. Israel Meteorological Service updates note a modest temperature rise and elevated heat-stress indices in the coming days, supporting the market’s implied probabilities without signaling an extreme heatwave. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, so current model runs favor a modest positive anomaly rather than record values. Short-range refinements from the IMS and ECMWF runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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