Recent Federal Reserve communications and persistent inflation data near 3.5% year-over-year have kept expectations for near-term policy easing limited, anchoring the 10-year Treasury yield around 4.68-4.70% amid resilient economic growth and elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. Market-implied odds reflect term premium expansion from supply concerns and geopolitical risks affecting oil prices, which could sustain upward pressure unless incoming CPI or labor reports signal clearer disinflation. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC minutes, retail sales, and any shifts in Fed dot plot projections for catalysts that might drive yields toward lower ranges before year-end 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$225,312 Объем
3,9%
12%
3,8%
5%
3,7%
2%
3,6%
5%
3,5%
2%
3,0%
3%
2,0%
2%
1,0%
2%
$225,312 Объем
3,9%
12%
3,8%
5%
3,7%
2%
3,6%
5%
3,5%
2%
3,0%
3%
2,0%
2%
1,0%
2%
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Federal Reserve communications and persistent inflation data near 3.5% year-over-year have kept expectations for near-term policy easing limited, anchoring the 10-year Treasury yield around 4.68-4.70% amid resilient economic growth and elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. Market-implied odds reflect term premium expansion from supply concerns and geopolitical risks affecting oil prices, which could sustain upward pressure unless incoming CPI or labor reports signal clearer disinflation. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC minutes, retail sales, and any shifts in Fed dot plot projections for catalysts that might drive yields toward lower ranges before year-end 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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