The strong trader consensus behind the 87% market-implied odds for "No" reflects the lack of any confirmed new entry denials since the UK Home Office blocked Ye in early April over his history of antisemitic statements, which prompted the full cancellation of Wireless Festival. While French officials have explored options for a potential Marseille concert ban and isolated reports noted restrictions in Poland and Switzerland, no additional governments have acted in the past six weeks, and Ye's team has postponed rather than pursued high-profile international dates that could trigger fresh scrutiny. With June 30 approaching and no major verified announcements or performances slated to force a new review, traders view another country-level block as unlikely in the near term absent a major public controversy or booking that reignites official pushback.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The strong trader consensus behind the 87% market-implied odds for "No" reflects the lack of any confirmed new entry denials since the UK Home Office blocked Ye in early April over his history of antisemitic statements, which prompted the full cancellation of Wireless Festival. While French officials have explored options for a potential Marseille concert ban and isolated reports noted restrictions in Poland and Switzerland, no additional governments have acted in the past six weeks, and Ye's team has postponed rather than pursued high-profile international dates that could trigger fresh scrutiny. With June 30 approaching and no major verified announcements or performances slated to force a new review, traders view another country-level block as unlikely in the near term absent a major public controversy or booking that reignites official pushback.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Объем
$5,107Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The strong trader consensus behind the 87% market-implied odds for "No" reflects the lack of any confirmed new entry denials since the UK Home Office blocked Ye in early April over his history of antisemitic statements, which prompted the full cancellation of Wireless Festival. While French officials have explored options for a potential Marseille concert ban and isolated reports noted restrictions in Poland and Switzerland, no additional governments have acted in the past six weeks, and Ye's team has postponed rather than pursued high-profile international dates that could trigger fresh scrutiny. With June 30 approaching and no major verified announcements or performances slated to force a new review, traders view another country-level block as unlikely in the near term absent a major public controversy or booking that reignites official pushback.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$5,107Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The strong trader consensus behind the 87% market-implied odds for "No" reflects the lack of any confirmed new entry denials since the UK Home Office blocked Ye in early April over his history of antisemitic statements, which prompted the full cancellation of Wireless Festival. While French officials have explored options for a potential Marseille concert ban and isolated reports noted restrictions in Poland and Switzerland, no additional governments have acted in the past six weeks, and Ye's team has postponed rather than pursued high-profile international dates that could trigger fresh scrutiny. With June 30 approaching and no major verified announcements or performances slated to force a new review, traders view another country-level block as unlikely in the near term absent a major public controversy or booking that reignites official pushback.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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