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icon for Хаменеи # посты 28 августа - 4 сентября 2026 года?

Хаменеи # посты 28 августа - 4 сентября 2026 года?

icon for Хаменеи # посты 28 августа - 4 сентября 2026 года?

Хаменеи # посты 28 августа - 4 сентября 2026 года?

<5 85.3%

10-14 6.4%

5-9 5%

15-19 2.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<5 85.3%

10-14 6.4%

5-9 5%

15-19 2.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<5

$2,849 Объем

85%

5-9

$677 Объем

5%

10-14

$361 Объем

8%

15-19

$225 Объем

2%

20-24

$251 Объем

1%

25-29

$214 Объем

2%

30-34

$201 Объем

2%

35-39

$213 Объем

1%

40-44

$237 Объем

1%

45-49

$171 Объем

<1%

50-54

$246 Объем

1%

55-59

$263 Объем

1%

60+

$159 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the August 28–September 4 window, consistent with its established pattern of infrequent activity.** The verified account associated with statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (martyred in early 2026) functions primarily as an archival and commemorative channel rather than a high-volume platform. Recent output has centered on memorial content tied to the 40th-day observances in mid-August, after which posting volume has remained low. Successor Mojtaba Khamenei communicates mainly through written messages on Telegram and other official outlets, including recent calls for national unity amid U.S. economic measures announced in late August. No scheduled events or leadership announcements in the resolution period point to a departure from this baseline. The account’s historical posting rate, focused on occasional statements or commemorations rather than daily updates, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward minimal activity in the coming week.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$6,067
Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the August 28–September 4 window, consistent with its established pattern of infrequent activity.** The verified account associated with statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (martyred in early 2026) functions primarily as an archival and commemorative channel rather than a high-volume platform. Recent output has centered on memorial content tied to the 40th-day observances in mid-August, after which posting volume has remained low. Successor Mojtaba Khamenei communicates mainly through written messages on Telegram and other official outlets, including recent calls for national unity amid U.S. economic measures announced in late August. No scheduled events or leadership announcements in the resolution period point to a departure from this baseline. The account’s historical posting rate, focused on occasional statements or commemorations rather than daily updates, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward minimal activity in the coming week.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$6,067
Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Хаменеи # посты 28 августа - 4 сентября 2026 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<5» с 85%, за ним следует «10-14» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 85¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Хаменеи # посты 28 августа - 4 сентября 2026 года?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 25, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Хаменеи # посты 28 августа - 4 сентября 2026 года?», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Хаменеи # посты 28 августа - 4 сентября 2026 года?» — «<5» с 85%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Следующий ближайший исход — «10-14» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Хаменеи # посты 28 августа - 4 сентября 2026 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.