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icon for LAM Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix?
Финансы·КПЭ

LAM Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix?

icon for LAM Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix?
Финансы·КПЭ

LAM Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix?

июл. 29

июл. 29

июл. 29

июл. 29

30%-34% 38%

34%-38% 38%

<30% 0

38%-42% 0

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

30%-34% 38%

34%-38% 38%

<30% 0

38%-42% 0

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<30%

$120 Объем

39%

30%-34%

$23 Объем

38%

34%-38%

$22 Объем

38%

38%-42%

$20 Объем

38%

42%+

$20 Объем

38%

This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Lam Research’s fiscal Q4 2026 China revenue share faces balanced market-implied odds across narrow percentage buckets, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the July 29 earnings release. Management guided for a sequential decline in China’s contribution, citing stronger spending by global multinationals in Korea and Taiwan outpacing regional demand amid ongoing U.S. export controls on advanced semiconductor equipment. Recent quarters showed China at 34-35% of revenue, supported by memory and logic capacity builds, yet competitive dynamics around wafer fab equipment allocation and margin pressures from restricted high-end sales continue to weigh on the exact mix. Traders are monitoring AI-driven WFE trends and any last-minute order shifts that could swing the outcome within the contested ranges.

This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Объем
$205
Дата окончания
29 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 18, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Lam Research’s fiscal Q4 2026 China revenue share faces balanced market-implied odds across narrow percentage buckets, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the July 29 earnings release. Management guided for a sequential decline in China’s contribution, citing stronger spending by global multinationals in Korea and Taiwan outpacing regional demand amid ongoing U.S. export controls on advanced semiconductor equipment. Recent quarters showed China at 34-35% of revenue, supported by memory and logic capacity builds, yet competitive dynamics around wafer fab equipment allocation and margin pressures from restricted high-end sales continue to weigh on the exact mix. Traders are monitoring AI-driven WFE trends and any last-minute order shifts that could swing the outcome within the contested ranges.

This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Объем
$205
Дата окончания
29 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 18, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Связанные

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74%
Да
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Будет ли общая выручка KLA Corp (KLAC) за 4 квартал выше $3,65 млрд?

47%
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Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $18B?

70%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«LAM Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<30%» с 40%, за ним следует «30%-34%» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 40¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«LAM Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «LAM Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «LAM Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix?» — «<30%» с 40%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30%-34%» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «LAM Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.