Trader consensus on the Amsterdam lowest temperature market heavily favors 13–14°C as the overnight minimum, driven by official forecasts from European meteorological agencies projecting stable late-summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology places typical August overnight lows near 14°C, decreasing slightly by month’s end, while current model runs show no significant cold-air advection or excessive cloud cover that would push readings notably lower or higher. Recent data releases confirm daytime maxima around 20–21°C transitioning to minima consistent with these levels, leaving limited room for outcomes outside the narrow 13–14°C band unless an unexpected frontal passage develops before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 21 августа?
13°C 34%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
34%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 34%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$126 Объем
<1%
10°C
$20 Объем
<1%
11°C
$28 Объем
<1%
12°C
$107 Объем
2%
13°C
$0 Объем
34%
14°C
$100 Объем
51%
15°C
$350 Объем
<1%
16°C
$688 Объем
<1%
17°C
$530 Объем
<1%
18°C
$334 Объем
<1%
19°C or higher
$397 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Amsterdam lowest temperature market heavily favors 13–14°C as the overnight minimum, driven by official forecasts from European meteorological agencies projecting stable late-summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology places typical August overnight lows near 14°C, decreasing slightly by month’s end, while current model runs show no significant cold-air advection or excessive cloud cover that would push readings notably lower or higher. Recent data releases confirm daytime maxima around 20–21°C transitioning to minima consistent with these levels, leaving limited room for outcomes outside the narrow 13–14°C band unless an unexpected frontal passage develops before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Объем
$2,678Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Amsterdam lowest temperature market heavily favors 13–14°C as the overnight minimum, driven by official forecasts from European meteorological agencies projecting stable late-summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology places typical August overnight lows near 14°C, decreasing slightly by month’s end, while current model runs show no significant cold-air advection or excessive cloud cover that would push readings notably lower or higher. Recent data releases confirm daytime maxima around 20–21°C transitioning to minima consistent with these levels, leaving limited room for outcomes outside the narrow 13–14°C band unless an unexpected frontal passage develops before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,678Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Amsterdam lowest temperature market heavily favors 13–14°C as the overnight minimum, driven by official forecasts from European meteorological agencies projecting stable late-summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology places typical August overnight lows near 14°C, decreasing slightly by month’s end, while current model runs show no significant cold-air advection or excessive cloud cover that would push readings notably lower or higher. Recent data releases confirm daytime maxima around 20–21°C transitioning to minima consistent with these levels, leaving limited room for outcomes outside the narrow 13–14°C band unless an unexpected frontal passage develops before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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