Current forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a Buenos Aires minimum near 4–6°C on August 24 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Late-winter climatology favors lows around 8–9°C, but recent model runs show a cooler boundary-layer air mass arriving overnight, with outcomes differentiated by cloud cover timing and wind mixing—clearer conditions favor the lower bins while increased moisture or stronger flow supports 6–8°C or higher. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of updated ECMWF and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 24 августа?
8°C или выше 68%
6°C 36%
4°C 34%
1°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
-2°C или ниже
14%
-1°C
21%
0°C
25%
1°C
28%
2°C
28%
3°C
28%
4°C
34%
5°C
19%
6°C
36%
7°C
3%
8°C или выше
68%
8°C или выше 68%
6°C 36%
4°C 34%
1°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
-2°C или ниже
$880 Объем
14%
-1°C
$6 Объем
21%
0°C
$0 Объем
25%
1°C
$0 Объем
28%
2°C
$0 Объем
28%
3°C
$0 Объем
28%
4°C
$0 Объем
34%
5°C
$7 Объем
19%
6°C
$0 Объем
36%
7°C
$15 Объем
3%
8°C или выше
$85 Объем
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a Buenos Aires minimum near 4–6°C on August 24 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Late-winter climatology favors lows around 8–9°C, but recent model runs show a cooler boundary-layer air mass arriving overnight, with outcomes differentiated by cloud cover timing and wind mixing—clearer conditions favor the lower bins while increased moisture or stronger flow supports 6–8°C or higher. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of updated ECMWF and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Объем
$993Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a Buenos Aires minimum near 4–6°C on August 24 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Late-winter climatology favors lows around 8–9°C, but recent model runs show a cooler boundary-layer air mass arriving overnight, with outcomes differentiated by cloud cover timing and wind mixing—clearer conditions favor the lower bins while increased moisture or stronger flow supports 6–8°C or higher. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of updated ECMWF and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$993Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a Buenos Aires minimum near 4–6°C on August 24 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Late-winter climatology favors lows around 8–9°C, but recent model runs show a cooler boundary-layer air mass arriving overnight, with outcomes differentiated by cloud cover timing and wind mixing—clearer conditions favor the lower bins while increased moisture or stronger flow supports 6–8°C or higher. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of updated ECMWF and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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