Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by a stable high-pressure system, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds limiting daytime warming during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Historical August averages hover near 15–17°C, but current synoptic patterns—with overnight lows near 3–7°C and minimal cloud cover—favor subdued afternoon peaks around the 12–13°C threshold rather than typical seasonal highs. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 12°C and 13°C, while lower odds on 14°C or above reflect limited warming potential and the risk of any model shift toward cooler advection.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 23 августа?
13°C 44%
12°C 31%
14°C 19%
11°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
9%
12°C
31%
13°C
44%
14°C
19%
15°C
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 44%
12°C 31%
14°C 19%
11°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$79 Объем
<1%
9°C
$174 Объем
1%
10°C
$55 Объем
3%
11°C
$32 Объем
9%
12°C
$348 Объем
31%
13°C
$80 Объем
44%
14°C
$65 Объем
19%
15°C
$30 Объем
4%
16°C
$88 Объем
3%
17°C
$5 Объем
1%
18°C or higher
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by a stable high-pressure system, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds limiting daytime warming during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Historical August averages hover near 15–17°C, but current synoptic patterns—with overnight lows near 3–7°C and minimal cloud cover—favor subdued afternoon peaks around the 12–13°C threshold rather than typical seasonal highs. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 12°C and 13°C, while lower odds on 14°C or above reflect limited warming potential and the risk of any model shift toward cooler advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Объем
$961Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by a stable high-pressure system, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds limiting daytime warming during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Historical August averages hover near 15–17°C, but current synoptic patterns—with overnight lows near 3–7°C and minimal cloud cover—favor subdued afternoon peaks around the 12–13°C threshold rather than typical seasonal highs. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 12°C and 13°C, while lower odds on 14°C or above reflect limited warming potential and the risk of any model shift toward cooler advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$961Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by a stable high-pressure system, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds limiting daytime warming during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Historical August averages hover near 15–17°C, but current synoptic patterns—with overnight lows near 3–7°C and minimal cloud cover—favor subdued afternoon peaks around the 12–13°C threshold rather than typical seasonal highs. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 12°C and 13°C, while lower odds on 14°C or above reflect limited warming potential and the risk of any model shift toward cooler advection.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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